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The Brexit Election - "I'll be Bloody Difficult"

The prime minister has chosen to use the wealth and health of Britain for her own narrow political objectives




So now, this is the most important election in British post war history.

It is crystal clear that the EU negotiations will be very difficult for the UK.  The EU countries have ALL agreed not to let Britain even start any trade negotiations until our bill is agreed for leaving.

Since Theresa May has already decided she “will be bloody difficult ” with the people who decide our fate, it seems now almost impossible under her leadership to agree any reasonable outcome with the EU.

It is simply not in the interests of any of the EU countries, (who all currently wish to see the EU to continue in the long term), to make it easy or worthwhile for Britain to leave.  Their interests are best served by making the UK pay dearly in every aspect for choosing to leave.  This will be done even at the cost to the EU of higher trade tariffs for their exports.  The EU will see this as a necessary cost of keeping the EU together.

This has nothing to do with disliking Britain, the EU members must take this course as they realise that Brexit could herald the beginning of the end - fifty years of hard won negotiation and commitment.  

If the Conservatives believe that this is not how the EU will behave – then they need to put forward a clear argument that supports an alternative.  Just to say that the EU will lose more than the UK in trade tariffs is not sufficient – the EU will see this cost as necessary to save the EU overall.  This becomes crystal clear when you consider that if they made it easy and efficient for the UK to leave, then the EU would be under severe pressure from all the other ‘leave’ movements across Europe for many years.  If they make it clear that ANY country leaving, will lose a great deal in trade and other benefits, then they stop these movements in their tracks, as it will be clear the economic cost in leaving is just too high.

The facts:-

So what may be the benefits of leaving?

What other key areas really affect what the UK can do outside the EU?

A best case scenario:-

A worst case scenario:-